Your Daily Dose Of Knowledge! April 28, 2025 - #363

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April 28th, 2025

Welcome Back,

Happy Monday everyone and welcome back to another stock market analysis! Today we will be diving into some changes that were seen on Friday as the market closed out for the weekend as well as things that happened over the weekend that may impact this trading week. Enjoy!

Ryan Rincon

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Daily News Updates:

U.S. Economy Faces Stagflation Risks Amid Tariff Turmoil
A recent JPMorgan survey indicates a heightened risk of stagflation in the U.S. economy, with the majority of respondents viewing the ongoing trade war as the most detrimental policy. The survey also suggests that cash is expected to outperform other asset classes in 2025. ​

IMF and World Bank Meetings Conclude with Economic Uncertainty
The IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings ended without significant progress on U.S. tariff policies, leaving global finance leaders concerned about the economic outlook. Despite receiving 18 trade proposals, the U.S. emphasized patience in negotiations, particularly with Japan and South Korea. ​

U.S. Farmers Brace for Crisis Amidst Tariff Uncertainty
American farmers are increasingly worried that the ongoing tariff disputes could lead to the worst farm crisis in nearly half a century. The recent pause on high import taxes for most U.S. trading partners, coupled with increased tariffs on China, has created significant uncertainty in the agricultural sector. ​

Tech Industry Faces Challenges Over AI Bias Reduction Efforts
Efforts by the tech industry to reduce AI's pervasive bias are facing opposition from the Trump administration, which seeks to end what it terms "woke AI" initiatives. This move could have significant implications for the development and deployment of AI technologies. ​

Market Turmoil Affects Retirement Savings Confidence
The recent market volatility has led many Americans to avoid checking their retirement savings, fearing significant losses. Experts had warned that U.S. stocks were overpriced and due for a correction even before the recent economic policies took effect. ​

Canadian Voters Respond to U.S. Trade Policies in Upcoming Election
In Canada's upcoming election, voters appear poised to rebuke the Trump administration's trade war, which has sparked a wave of national pride and a shift towards the Liberal party. ​

China-U.S. Trade Talks Add to Global Confusion
Conflicting statements from U.S. and Chinese officials regarding trade negotiations have added to global market uncertainty, complicating investment decisions and economic forecasting. ​

Elon Musk's Public Approval Declines Amid Increased Influence
An AP-NORC poll reveals that only about one-third of U.S. adults have a favorable opinion of Elon Musk, as concerns grow over his influence in Washington and his promotion of cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin. ​

University of Nebraska at Kearney Celebrates Entrepreneurship
The University of Nebraska at Kearney recognized successful entrepreneurs from across the state during its "Light It Up" awards ceremony, highlighting the importance of innovation and business development in the region. ​

Mortgage Rates Lower, but Volatility Expected
Current mortgage rates have decreased; however, upcoming economic reports could lead to increased volatility in the housing market. Potential homebuyers are advised to stay informed about these developments.

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Stock Market Investing

Market Recap:

Tech Surge Amid Tariff Turmoil

U.S. markets closed higher, buoyed by gains in Big Tech stocks. The S&P 500 rose 0.7% to 5,525.21, while the Nasdaq Composite added 1.3% to 17,382.94. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.1% to 40,113.50 .

Despite the gains, over half of the S&P 500 companies declined, as corporate leaders cited uncertainty from President Trump's ongoing trade war as a reason for withholding financial forecasts. For the week, all indexes posted strong gains: the Nasdaq up 6.7%, the S&P 500 up 4.6%, and the Dow up 2.5% .

Stocks to Watch:

Earnings Season Highlights

Netflix (NFLX): Closing at $1,101.53 on April 25, Netflix's stock has been on an upward trajectory, reflecting investor optimism about its growth prospects. The company's focus on international expansion and content diversification continues to pay off, making it a stock to watch in the coming months.

Bank of America (BAC): Reporting Q1 earnings of $0.90 per share on revenue of $27.4 billion, Bank of America exceeded analyst expectations, showcasing strength in its trading division and net interest income. The stock's performance reflects confidence in the bank's ability to navigate the current economic landscape.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): Despite surpassing Q1 forecasts with EPS of $2.77 and revenue of $21.89 billion, J&J's shares experienced a slight decline, possibly due to concerns about the impact of tariffs on its supply chain. Investors should monitor how the company addresses these challenges moving forward.

Future Stock Predictions:

Renewable Energy Sector Poised for Growth

The renewable energy sector is projected to experience substantial growth, driven by increasing global emphasis on sustainable practices. Companies like NextEra Energy (NEE) and First Solar (FSLR) are at the forefront, leveraging technological advancements to drive innovation across various industries.

Analysts predict that the renewable energy market will grow from $881.7 billion in 2020 to approximately $1.9 trillion by 2030, reflecting a 7.2% CAGR. Investors should monitor how these companies capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions.

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Today’s Stock Market Tip:

Understanding P/E Ratios

The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is a crucial metric for evaluating a stock's valuation. It is calculated by dividing the current share price by the earnings per share (EPS). A high P/E ratio may indicate that a stock is overvalued, or investors expect high growth rates in the future. Conversely, a low P/E ratio might suggest that the stock is undervalued or that the company is experiencing difficulties.

For example, if a company's stock is trading at $100 and its EPS is $5, the P/E ratio would be 20. Comparing this ratio to industry peers can provide insights into the stock's relative value.

Why Timing the Market Might Be Hurting You

If you’ve ever hesitated to invest because you were waiting for the “perfect moment,” you’re not alone. The truth is, even the best investors in the world can’t consistently time the market. In fact, missing just a few of the best-performing days can significantly hurt your long-term returns.

Let’s break it down. Say you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500 back in 2003 and simply held on until 2023. Your investment would’ve grown to over $64,000. But if you missed just the 10 best days in that 20-year span? Your return drops to $29,000 — less than half. And if you missed the 20 best days? It’s down to $18,000. That’s how crucial staying invested can be.

Trying to time every market dip or peak might feel smart in the short term, but historically, it’s staying in the game — through the ups and downs — that builds true wealth. So next time you feel the urge to pull out or wait it out, remember: the market rewards patience, not perfection.

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Economic Conditions

The U.S. economy is facing headwinds, with GDP growth forecasts for 2025 revised downward to below 1%, influenced by increased tariffs and policy uncertainties. Unemployment rates are projected to rise to between 4.5% and 5%, while inflation is expected to reach nearly 4%. These factors contribute to a complex economic environment that investors must navigate carefully.

Key Takeaways:

  • Market Recap: Markets rallied as President Trump temporarily suspended certain tariffs, boosting investor confidence.

  • Stocks to Watch: Netflix, Bank of America, and Johnson & Johnson reported significant earnings, influencing their stock performances.

  • Stock Market Tip: Understanding P/E ratios is crucial for evaluating stock valuations and making informed investment decisions.

  • Future Stock Predictions: The renewable energy sector is projected to experience substantial growth, presenting opportunities for investors.

  • Economic Conditions: The U.S. faces economic challenges with revised GDP growth forecasts, rising unemployment, and inflation concerns.

  • Insight: Attempting to time the market can significantly hurt long-term returns; staying invested is key to building wealth.

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That’s All For Today

I hope you enjoyed today’s issue. If you have any questions regarding today’s issue or future issues feel free to ask. Come back tomorrow for information on how to grow your income and wealth. I hope to see you.

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects the opinions of its editors and contributors. The content provided, including but not limited to real estate tips, stock market insights, business marketing strategies, and startup advice, is shared for general guidance and does not constitute financial, investment, real estate, legal, or business advice. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investment, real estate, and business decisions involve inherent risks, and readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence and consult with qualified professionals before taking any action. This newsletter does not establish a fiduciary, advisory, or professional relationship between the publishers and readers.

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